Inventory vs Sales | $30000 mistake.







 https://www.tiktok.com/t/ZP8bq8c4J/ $30000 mistake. 

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The $30,000 Mistake
Don't make this $30,000 mistake. Watch this

Private Listing Networks Explained

This law professor wrote a good opinion piece on the Wall Street Journal about the private listing network. 30%, that's how many listings at America's biggest brokerage you can't find right now, not on Zillow, not on realtor.com, not anywhere. And some of you don't even know that this was happening. Compass is keeping a growing share of its homes in what they call a private exclusive or private exclusives.

Only Compass agents and their buyers get access, and that's according to this opinion piece here. 

Why Off-Market Listings Hurt Sellers

They pitch it as a giving sellers more control type of thing, but Zillow studied millions of sales and found that sellers who skip the MLS lose about $5,000 per home. In California, that number is $30,000. You either believe this protects sellers or you believe it protects the brokerage.

Compass actually sued Zi- All right, enough of that. 

Agent Motivations and Industry Problems
Look, the point is, is if your agent is trying to convince you to take-- keep your listing off market and not market it correctly across the MLS, meaning yes, you have to go to Zillow and Redfin, but whatever, they're not servicing you. They're servicing their master, which is their broker.

And I always tell people it's not a good idea. I don't do the coming soon. I don't think it's viable. I don't think it's valuable to you as a consumer. A lot of agents are speaking up about this right now, and I think it's because a couple of years ago, we got that four hundred million dollar lawsuit.

It's really coming to to, to a precipice right now where you either are part of the problem or you're trying to free Ju-- you know, it's the red pill versus the blue pill or what have you. Bottom line is, if someone is doing something for you and they're telling you this is the great way, the great way, you should learn, right?

Two thousand seven, two thousand six, two thousand eight, all the lenders were like, "Oh, do the pick a pay. Do the pick a pay. Alt A mortgages, they're easy. Ninja." Na-na-na, and now we're in a situation where... Now, then there was a situation where we had massive foreclosures. This does not help you as a client.

When Pocket Listings Make Sense

Look there's a place for it. Absolutely, a place for pocket listings. And that's that you wanna have your privacy, and you don't wanna have a hundred people going through your house, and you don't want da, da, da, da. But you have to understand the risk behind it, because when you don't bring in the entire market, you don't know what the value is of that market, of that house, period The link is in my blog.

You're very welcome to go take a look and re-watch this guy. Uh, there's a ton of advocates out there. I know I bring this, and I feel like a freaking  a rotating wheel. It just keeps coming back, killing the... Kicking the dead horse. But the point is, that they... These coming soon things need to go away.

I don't call myself a realtor anymore, even though I'm part of the brand and part of whatever. I n- I don't pay into their little propaganda payment thing. It's... You can pay into their, their  whatever, pay extra money to, to help feed their political party. I don't believe in that. I don't believe in... I've never stood on either side of any political side.

Industry-Wide Private Listing Issues

 but this, to me, is when... It's not just Compass either, right? It's real. It's my company does this. Real Max does this. Max Real, whatever the hell they're called. Remax  y- KW, and all these other c- uh, these other brokerages, they're all doing it. They all do it. They're like, "Oh, these are private listings, and we're do-" What...

How does that help you? That makes you, as a buyer, you have to go to fifteen, twenty, thirty different sites to find different houses. It's just too confusing. It just sucks. It's ridiculous. 

Zillow's Role and Commissions

And that's why Zillow is fighting hard for it, and I understand. But Zillow is doing it for their own greed too, right?

They're doing it because they want their just desserts, which means if I was a Zillow Premier agent, I pay Zillow forty percent or sixty percent of whatever the commission is that I negotiate. So if you're paying me $10,000, Zillow gets ten... Four thousand for it

Period. For what? For being a site aggregator, a lead generator? I don't believe in that either. So there you go. 

Consumer-First Philosophy

I believe in serving the consumer and making sure the consumer makes as much money as possible, and being as educated as I can, and educating my cons- my clients as best I can. And all this other whiz-bang stuff doesn't help you at all.

Okay, let's go on. That was it. There's no other news that I wanna talk about today. 

Market Inventory Analysis

Home inspection checklist, probate. Inventory is out, and it's eye-opening. Uh, we're coming back up to see where I think when we settle in May, we're going to see price, the s- months supply go up above 4.6. I think that's where we're going to settle out.
I think we're gonna see it continue to go up. I don't think it's going to be  2008 levels, but I think we're going to see something happen here, right?

And again, that is across the United States Generally speaking, I think more cities, more towns are going to hurt over the next couple months, maybe a year than, later. 

Regional Market Differences

There's a huge separation of those with and those without, and yesterday I showed you a map of Silicon Valley, of Santa Clara County, of s- the west side where s- Yeah, sorry.

Of the west side where Santa Clara County in '17... Sorry, my, my internet went out for a second. Where ' 17 and the west side all the way to Cupertino, et cetera, it

It's  there's very few houses that don't sell. On the east side of 17 all the way to Milpitas and down to Gilroy, you see a larger population of it, period. This is  what you're seeing here

What you're seeing here is a whole bunch of houses that all across the United St- all across the, the 12 counties that we track, right? 

Supply Metrics Breakdown

And this is where we look for six months as the thing. Napa has, uh, one month over 6%, over six months of supply, but everything else below is doing really healthy, right?

Those numbers are going to shake up over the next couple months, right? 

Selling Season Recap

We did not have a selling season. We had a weekend where rates went down below 6%. It hit 5.99, and everybody bought, and then after the, like Monday, it went back up to five point or six point whatever, 6.25, and then that was the end of the season For most people.

Houses are still selling, just not at the pace that we're, we want Okay. Active number versus yada, Number of inventory. We're still doing very healthily. 

Historical Context and Foreclosures

This was the shakeup in 2008 to 2012, right? So you're gonna see numbers jump up like this. We have nothing that's going to slow down this industry right now that we know of.

Last week I told you about the crack in the dam of foreclosures. It's a very good possibility, but there's a way to make sure that we don't see this happening, right? 

Santa Clara County Numbers

15 cities in San Jose, Santa Clara County. There's more, just so you know, but we're still under six months supply for almost every city.

Even...

What's th- what's this one right here? I think that was, um, not Milpitas, it was San Martin. So there you go. Our numbers aren't doing bad. You know, I think we're gonna see... Hang on a second. 

May Market Update
So here's, here are the May, sorry, May numbers for everything. And you're not seeing anything skyrocket up, right?
Over the last couple months, nothing's really skyrocketed up. So nothing really to be worried about. 
Closing Remarks

All right, that's it for now. Have a great weekend. I have a link to open houses in my blog, and you can take everything that you see here and enjoy. I'm Vito with Abitano. We'll see you out there.

Take care.

 


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Vito Scarnecchia

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