There Are 630,000 More Home Sellers Than Buyers—the Biggest Gap on Record


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There Are 630,000 More Home Sellers Than Buyers—the Biggest Gap on Record
Tensions Cloud a Spring Market That Was Just Finding Its Footing
PROBATE AND ESTATE SALES
Cupertino Home of the Week
Willow Glen Home of the Week
Luxury Home of the Week
How your Home will be Marketed
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Vito Scarnecchia,
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News is not good news, and it's not great news. It's not bad news. Just it is what it is, right? The market is what it is. And we knew this going into this when we elected what his face is? Two years ago, we knew that things were going to get a little rough.

Seller Buyer Gap Explained

Now let's talk about where we are. There are 630 more home sellers than buyers. It's the biggest gap on record. Should that be something we're freaking out about?

No, especially regionally and in San Jose, Santa Clara. I think we're okay. I think we're seeing a slowdown. We're absolutely thinking of seeing things where we expected to get more homes on the market, which we're seeing, and buyers are not coming out in droves, which we expected because rates went up.

Remember,r rates went down below %, two, three weeks ago. We knew that going into it. And it takes a few weeks for that to normalize.  

Why Buyers Are Pausing

Home buyers are retreating due to stubbornly high home prices. This, here's the thing, sellers don't need to move.

They don't have to move. Right? It's not 2008, when their houses are being taken from them. They don't have to move. If they don't get the price that they want, they're just gonna hold. They're just gonna hold onto it. I'm looking at a bunch of different houses right now, and I have three active listings, and all of 'em are just sitting, right?

Not getting a ton of traffic because there just isn't a ton of buyers out there right now. Plus, we also had Easter, which is a big holiday weekend. And yeah, things kind of take a little bit of a toll, right in this multicultural area. We still had buyers coming through. It wasn't completely crickets, but you know, we still have stuff going on.

Things got normalized. Then we dropped the rates, and then the war started, and then the rates went back up, and that's why we're in a stall right now. That's going to normalize. It's absolutely going to normalize because nobody needs to sell their house right now. We're not seeing a huge rush of bank-owned inventory, et cetera.




Headlines Versus Reality
So this is just like a regional report here, and then right here, tensions cloud the spring markets. This is all I have in the area. It's all designed to get you to click. Just finding its footing. Now, here's the thing, right? You can absolutely agree to it. It says, " Oh my God, there are 172 more active listings than there were last year in 2020.

Yeah, absolutely. Rates were a lot lower back then, and houses flew off the market back then. But let's take a look at new listings. 439,000. And it's only a 9.9%. That's barely 1% change. Okay. So it's not incendiary, it's not a bad market. It's not anything crazy here. Right? And we're going to go into this, into the 12 Bay Area County  12 County Bay Area market report or sales report.

But this is more important right now. Let's talk about the active listings year over year, tonight, almost a million. Up slightly from 7.9. Up slightly, right? This lets you think that, oh my god, Chicken Little's coming, and the sky's falling. But it's not, nothing's bad here, right? Active listings are mostly because we just have more people moving, but they're also taking their time.

But the 415 median list price has gone down just a tad bit. But since 2022, it's gone up a tad bit.

 

Ignore Crash Scare Tactics

So when you see these real estate guys saying, " Oh my God, the market's crashing. Oh my God, we're gonna see a crash. Oh my God, oh my God, you should sell right now. Sell to me for 50 cents on the dollar. All they're trying to do is separate you from the value of your home. If you're going to put your house on the market, put your house on the market and see what the market does.

 

San Jose Pricing Context

San Jose. Now this is San Jose Sunnyville Santa Clara, and this is the listed price, not the sales price, because we're aa $2$2 million sales price, right? Median sales price for Santa Clara County. That's just Santa Clara County.

This is just three cities that they average in, showing that it's coming down. Look, 1.376, of course, this is the list price, not the average, the median list price, not the median sales price, which is $2 million.

Anyway, here you go. All right. 

Help With Senior Moves

You have older parents, and you need to move them into a community or what have you. Let me know. We specialize in taking stuff out, getting your house fixed up, major repairs, minor repairs, et cetera.

Getting it, looking like it's pretty ready to go, and then we'll take care of it for you. Download this pre-inspection checklist, and we'll get started with you today. 



Cupertino House Pick
Cupertino House of the week. Ricardo Road, not my listing. The reason why I picked it is 'cause it's almost $5 million, crazy for a 3,600 square foot house.

Five bedrooms, three and a half baths on a third of an acre, almost a third of an acre, built in 2024 on Stevens Creek Canyon Road. This is tucked away, so quiet, and nobody ever knew that this house existed. So that's where the space, the apple. UFO I, that's Monte Vista, Deza area, and yep, you go up through here, and then you go towards the dam, and it's right there on a little cul-de-sac, gigantic home built in 2004.

And I'll bet you anything you have to pay for fire, the California Fair Plan.  




Willow Glen House Pick
This is the Willow Glen House of the week. Again, a huge monstrosity of a house on a smaller lot. Just look at this thing. It's just gigantic, but it looks like it was built over and built over, so I, so as probably started off with this.

Then they added this, and then they added this, and then they added on top of here, back in 1930, it was probably a 2000 square foot or maybe a 1000 square foot house. Now it's a 2300 square foot house for $2.6 million. Right? Location, location, location. Let's talk about that. It is within walking distance of downtown Lincoln Ave.

I just don't like the nooks and crannies here. Kind of weird looking, but it is what it is. You know, when you Winchester mystery house this thing together, it's gonna be like that. The other thing is you don't have much of a yard, which might be okay for some people.

Yep. 



San Francisco Luxury Tour
And then this is Luxury Home of the Week, Pacific Avenue in San Francisco, 27 and a half million dollars, six bedrooms, six full baths, two half baths, almost 10,000 square feet, built in 1910. And you ha ihavelooks like you have a pretty decent view of not only the Bay and Golden Gate, but also the, the, the Presidio here.

Let's take a quick look inside. We're not gonna go to all 57 photos. Yeah, see that's just, it's modernized, but it's very chunky, not an open floor plan. There's your view. Look at that. It's worth it. It's your 27 and a half million dollar view right there. That's worth it right there.

Now, if I were a twerelisting agent, I would be calling Hollywood and saying, I have a set for you. I need you to come and take a look at this and put your new movie in the hand,d then you can sell it for 35 million. That's just me. The main reason is because of getting the 2D floor plan.

I'm huge on the floor plan, and Matterport does a really good job of doing that. And the fun thing is, you can take this and not in this one.

Yeah.  Mini map,

floor selector basement. See, it's kind of nice to be able to do that. Right. It's nice. It's absolutely nice. Let's take a look at this listing. 



My Home Listing Walkthrough

And the reason why I'm telling you we should take a look at this listing is that it's my house. I'm selling this house. I lived here for 23 years. We're moving,g and I'm still sticking around, still buying a house here in San Jose, maybe, maybe Santa Cruz.

We'll see. But yep. See this, still has a nice floor plan for you. And it's nice because. When somebody's coming in from out of town, they're like, well, I wanna see the floor plan. I wanna see what it looks like. Where would I put this? Where would I put that? And it's nice to have, right? And on top of that, you have the exterior video.

See, they have that. You have a nice picture of the park over there, right? And then you have a 3D Tour.

Here you go. And guys, I'm telling you stag, staging works. It works in amazing ama value. Here I can show you before and after pictures once this thing sells, but. Just think, you know, all the time that I spent in this house building it, I put the new kitchen in a couple of times, put this pantry in, built this pantry out myself.

It's sweet, but it is what it is. Spent a lot of time in this room right here watching tv right. And then outside. Go outside again. So you built this fireplace with a keg raid. There's a fire, or sorry, a barbecue. And then you have lights over here. If you want to have a nice evening, it's cool out.

You turn the fireplace on, and then you have lights and a heater if it gets cold. And an old TV here, my daughter and I built that, and let's go into the office.

Yep. See, look nice. I have it all cleaned up. Never looked like this. You see how everything has three things on it? Barely three things about its use I wanted to like, it looks. Come on, get upstairs. And there you go. There's the master bedroom, right? And then the bathroom. Which then built the cabinet, so I put 'em in, and then there you go.

Bay Area Market Report

Take a look real quick at the three or the 12. County Bay Area report. Nothing crazy's going on. Here's one thing you have to remember: those who don't have money aren't really affected by the economy. They already have it planned in, and when they look at a house, they're gonna buy it no matter what.
It doesn't matter what the economy is. Normal 90% of the population who are thinking, oh my God, I'd love to be able to buy a house, but is this really a good time to buy or see, nd this and that. And rates affect them when you're in the Hals, you don't care about the rates 'cause you have ways of working out of that stuff.

And for the most part, Santa Clara has a lot of halves, especially on the west side. But when you go on the east side from 17 highway 17 over, the prices dwindle and become a little more of a struggle for people to buy. And it's not a cultural thing, it happens to be where it is, right?

Everything on the West Coast tends to sell a little bit more than the East side in Santa Clara County. Nothing. Again, nothing crazy to look at. But again, look, median price, we're still a very high volume. We have 3,300 new listings for sale.

We've sold half of them already. 1,669. We did 200 sales this week, and in contrast to 2000. So these are closings. These included, like tthe30the 30of last year, too, so take that into account. It's the same thing, 30 days of contract in contract. Well, actually, that's year to date.

So really, we don't have a lot of active homes for sale right now in San Jose or Santa Clara County. If you're in San Benito, the median price is 800. Takes. 60 days to sell and you're looking at 96 cents on the dollar. Whereas in Santa Clara County, you're looking at 6% over list price.

Like San Mateo is 124, but then it comes down. And then San Francisco is the top, I'll tell you that right now. It's for some reason, they just keep going crazy, 

Wrap Up And Goodbye

All right, that's it for now. Thanks for watching. I'm Vito with Abano. We'll see you out there.

 



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Vito Scarnecchia
Real Estate Broker, Veteran, Dad
DRE#: 01407676
408-705-6817
Vitos@abitano.com
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If you are moving ANYWHERE in the world - Let me know! I know a LOT of AMAZING Agents!

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